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Crowd predictions
Final resultsCrowd predictions

The 98th Academy Awards 2026

Here's who 580+ Award Party ballots are backing, combined across private parties.

Categories called
24
Ballots counted
580+
Crowd accuracy
83%20 of 24 called
Make your own picks

Locks of the night

Where the crowd is most sure.

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Frankenstein

Mike Hill, Jordan Samuel and Cliona Furey

Based on 560+ ballotsCrowd called it

Best Animated Feature

KPop Demon Hunters

Maggie Kang, Chris Appelhans and Michelle L.M. Wong

Based on 570+ ballotsCrowd called it

Best Original Song

"Golden" – KPop Demon Hunters

Music and lyrics by Ejae, Mark Sonnenblick, 24, Ido, Teddy, Ian Eisendrath

Based on 560+ ballotsCrowd called it

Too close to call

The races splitting the room.

Best Supporting Actress

3 points apart

Amy Madigan – Weapons

37%

vs

Teyana Taylor – One Battle After Another

34%

The full crowd ballot

24 categories, each ranked by crowd share.

Best Picture

Based on 580+ ballots

Crowd called itFavorite

Crowd pick

One Battle After Another

Adam Somner, Sara Murphy, and Paul Thomas Anderson, producers

50%

  • Sinners

    32%

  • Hamnet

    7%

  • Marty Supreme

    3%

  • Frankenstein

    2%
Show all 10 nominees

  • Sentimental Value

    2%

  • Bugonia

    1%

  • F1

    1%

  • The Secret Agent

    1%

  • Train Dreams

    1%

Best Director

Based on 575+ ballots

Crowd called itFavorite

Crowd pick

Paul Thomas Anderson – One Battle After Another

55%

  • Ryan Coogler – Sinners

    26%

  • Chloé Zhao – Hamnet

    12%

  • Josh Safdie – Marty Supreme

    4%

  • Joachim Trier – Sentimental Value

    3%

Best Actor

Based on 575+ ballots

Crowd called itFavorite

Crowd pick

Michael B. Jordan – Sinners

as Elijah "Smoke" Moore / Elias "Stack" Moore

58%

  • Timothée Chalamet – Marty Supreme

    24%

  • Leonardo DiCaprio – One Battle After Another

    7%

  • Wagner Moura – The Secret Agent

    7%

  • Ethan Hawke – Blue Moon

    4%

Best Actress

Based on 570+ ballots

Crowd called itLock

Crowd pick

Jessie Buckley – Hamnet

as Agnes Shakespeare

74%

  • Emma Stone – Bugonia

    16%

  • Rose Byrne – If I Had Legs I'd Kick You

    4%

  • Kate Hudson – Song Sung Blue

    3%

  • Renate Reinsve – Sentimental Value

    3%

Best Supporting Actor

Based on 575+ ballots

Crowd called itFavorite

Crowd pick

Sean Penn – One Battle After Another

as Colonel Steven J. Lockjaw

46%

  • Stellan Skarsgård – Sentimental Value

    21%

  • Jacob Elordi – Frankenstein

    14%

  • Delroy Lindo – Sinners

    11%

  • Benicio del Toro – One Battle After Another

    8%

Best Supporting Actress

Based on 570+ ballots

Crowd called itToss-up

Crowd pick

Amy Madigan – Weapons

as Aunt Gladys

37%

  • Teyana Taylor – One Battle After Another

    34%

  • Wunmi Mosaku – Sinners

    17%

  • Elle Fanning – Sentimental Value

    7%

  • Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas – Sentimental Value

    5%

Best Original Screenplay

Based on 570+ ballots

Crowd called itLock

Crowd pick

Sinners

Ryan Coogler

71%

  • Marty Supreme

    13%

  • Sentimental Value

    9%

  • It Was Just an Accident

    4%

  • Blue Moon

    3%

Best Adapted Screenplay

Based on 570+ ballots

Crowd called itFavorite

Crowd pick

One Battle After Another

Paul Thomas Anderson; based on the novel Vineland by Thomas Pynchon

53%

  • Hamnet

    26%

  • Frankenstein

    11%

  • Bugonia

    7%

  • Train Dreams

    3%

Best Animated Feature

Based on 570+ ballots

Crowd called itLock

Crowd pick

KPop Demon Hunters

Maggie Kang, Chris Appelhans and Michelle L.M. Wong

78%

  • Zootopia 2

    13%

  • Arco

    3%

  • Elio

    3%

  • Little Amélie or the Character of Rain

    3%

Best International Feature Film

Based on 570+ ballots

Crowd called itLock

Crowd pick

Sentimental Value (Norway)

in Norwegian and English – directed by Joachim Trier

61%

  • The Secret Agent (Brazil)

    27%

  • It Was Just an Accident (France)

    6%

  • Sirāt (Spain)

    3%

  • The Voice of Hind Rajab (Tunisia)

    3%

Best Documentary Feature Film

Based on 555+ ballots

UpsetFavorite

Crowd pick

The Perfect Neighbor

Geeta Gandbhir, Alisa Payne, Nikon Kwantu and Sam Bisbee

56%

  • Mr. Nobody Against Putin

    Winner
    15%

  • Come See Me in the Good Light

    12%

  • The Alabama Solution

    11%

  • Cutting Through Rocks

    6%

Best Documentary Short Film

Based on 555+ ballots

Crowd called itFavorite

Crowd pick

All the Empty Rooms

Joshua Seftel and Conall Jones

47%

  • Children No More: "Were and Are Gone"

    18%

  • Armed Only with a Camera: The Life and Death of Brent Renaud

    16%

  • The Devil Is Busy

    11%

  • Perfectly a Strangeness

    8%

Best Animated Short Film

Based on 555+ ballots

UpsetFavorite

Crowd pick

Butterfly

Florence Miailhe and Ron Dyens

38%

  • The Girl Who Cried Pearls

    Winner
    23%

  • The Three Sisters

    15%

  • Retirement Plan

    13%

  • Forevergreen

    11%

Best Live Action Short Film

Based on 550+ ballots

Crowd called itFavorite

Crowd pick

Two People Exchanging Saliva

Alexandre Singh and Natalie Musteata

37%

  • The Singers

    Winner
    23%

  • A Friend of Dorothy

    21%

  • Jane Austen's Period Drama

    12%

  • Butcher's Stain

    7%

Best Casting

Based on 570+ ballots

UpsetFavorite

Crowd pick

Sinners

Francine Maisler

58%

  • One Battle After Another

    Winner
    22%

  • Marty Supreme

    9%

  • Hamnet

    7%

  • The Secret Agent

    4%

Best Cinematography

Based on 565+ ballots

UpsetFavorite

Crowd pick

One Battle After Another

Michael Bauman

37%

  • Sinners

    Winner
    25%

  • Train Dreams

    17%

  • Frankenstein

    16%

  • Marty Supreme

    5%

Best Costume Design

Based on 570+ ballots

Crowd called itLock

Crowd pick

Frankenstein

Kate Hawley

64%

  • Sinners

    13%

  • Avatar: Fire and Ash

    12%

  • Hamnet

    9%

  • Marty Supreme

    2%

Best Film Editing

Based on 565+ ballots

Crowd called itFavorite

Crowd pick

One Battle After Another

Andy Jurgensen

45%

  • F1

    26%

  • Sinners

    16%

  • Marty Supreme

    10%

  • Sentimental Value

    3%

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Based on 560+ ballots

Crowd called itLock

Crowd pick

Frankenstein

Mike Hill, Jordan Samuel and Cliona Furey

82%

  • Sinners

    11%

  • The Ugly Stepsister

    4%

  • Kokuho

    2%

  • The Smashing Machine

    1%

Best Production Design

Based on 565+ ballots

Crowd called itFavorite

Crowd pick

Frankenstein

Production Design: Tamara Deverell; Set Decoration: Shane Vieau

49%

  • Sinners

    25%

  • Hamnet

    13%

  • One Battle After Another

    8%

  • Marty Supreme

    5%

Best Original Score

Based on 565+ ballots

Crowd called itLock

Crowd pick

Sinners

Ludwig Göransson

67%

  • Hamnet

    11%

  • One Battle After Another

    10%

  • Bugonia

    9%

  • Frankenstein

    3%

Best Original Song

Based on 560+ ballots

Crowd called itLock

Crowd pick

"Golden" – KPop Demon Hunters

Music and lyrics by Ejae, Mark Sonnenblick, 24, Ido, Teddy, Ian Eisendrath

75%

  • "I Lied to You" – Sinners

    18%

  • "Train Dreams" – Train Dreams

    5%

  • "Dear Me" – Diane Warren: Relentless

    1%

  • "Sweet Dreams of Joy" – Viva Verdi!

    1%

Best Sound

Based on 560+ ballots

Crowd called itFavorite

Crowd pick

F1

Gareth John, Al Nelson, Gwendolyn Yates Whittle, Gary Rizzo and Juan Peralta

59%

  • Sinners

    21%

  • One Battle After Another

    11%

  • Frankenstein

    5%

  • Sirāt

    4%

Best Visual Effects

Based on 560+ ballots

Crowd called itLock

Crowd pick

Avatar: Fire and Ash

Joe Letteri, Richard Baneham, Eric Saindon, and Daniel Barrett

70%

  • Sinners

    13%

  • F1

    9%

  • Jurassic World Rebirth

    6%

  • The Lost Bus

    2%

Private by design

How the crowd is counted

Every party stays private. We only publish a combined share when it can't be traced back to any one person or party.

  1. One ballot per person

    Each person counts once per category, using their latest pick, no matter how many parties they're in.

  2. Many parties, not one

    A category appears only after enough people from at least three separate parties have voted, and no single party is the majority.

  3. An hour behind

    Picks made in the last hour are held back, so a single change can't be watched live.

  4. Small samples stay hidden

    Ballot totals are rounded down, and we never show who voted or which party they're in.

Your ballot moves the needle.

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