Skip to main content
Crowd predictions
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards
Final resultsCrowd predictions

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards 2026

Here's who 125+ Award Party ballots are backing, combined across private parties.

Categories called
25
Ballots counted
125+
Crowd accuracy
76%19 of 25 called
Make your own picks

Locks of the night

Where the crowd is most sure.

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series

Noah Wyle – The Pitt

as Dr. Michael "Robby" Robinavitch

Based on 125+ ballotsCrowd called it

Outstanding Drama Series

The Pitt

Based on 125+ ballotsCrowd called it

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series

Matthew Rhys – Widow's Bay

as Tom Loftis

Based on 125+ ballotsCrowd called it

Too close to call

The races splitting the room.

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie

1 point apart

Sarah Snook – All Her Fault

23%

vs

Carey Mulligan – Beef

22%

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series

2 points apart

Shawn Hatosy – The Pitt

24%

vs

Patrick Ball – The Pitt

22%

Outstanding Writing for a Comedy Series

2 points apart

Katie Dippold – Widow's Bay

34%

vs

Lucia Aniello, Paul W. Downs, and Jen Statsky – Hacks

32%

The full crowd ballot

25 categories, each ranked by crowd share.

Programs

Outstanding Comedy Series

Based on 125+ ballots

Crowd called itFavorite

Crowd pick

Widow's Bay

43%

  • Hacks

    24%

  • Abbott Elementary

    11%

  • Only Murders in the Building

    7%

  • The Bear

    6%
Show all 8 nominees

  • Shrinking

    5%

  • Margo's Got Money Troubles

    2%

  • Nobody Wants This

    2%

Outstanding Drama Series

Based on 125+ ballots

Crowd called itLock

Crowd pick

The Pitt

66%

  • Pluribus

    17%

  • A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms

    5%

  • Paradise

    5%

  • The Diplomat

    2%
Show all 8 nominees

  • The Gilded Age

    2%

  • Your Friends & Neighbors

    2%

  • Slow Horses

    1%

Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series

Based on 125+ ballots

Crowd called itFavorite

Crowd pick

DTF St. Louis

35%

  • Beef

    25%

  • The Beast in Me

    15%

  • All Her Fault

    13%

  • Love Story: John F. Kennedy Jr. & Carolyn Bessette

    12%

Outstanding Reality Competition Program

Based on 125+ ballots

Crowd called itLock

Crowd pick

The Traitors

64%

  • RuPaul's Drag Race

    11%

  • Dancing with the Stars

    9%

  • Survivor

    9%

  • Top Chef

    7%

Outstanding Variety Series

Based on 125+ ballots

Crowd called itFavorite

Crowd pick

The Late Show with Stephen Colbert

56%

  • Saturday Night Live

    18%

  • Last Week Tonight with John Oliver

    11%

  • Jimmy Kimmel Live!

    9%

  • The Daily Show

    6%

Outstanding Variety Special (Live)

Based on 125+ ballots

Crowd called itLock

Crowd pick

The Apple Music Super Bowl LX Halftime Show Starring Bad Bunny

61%

  • The Oscars

    22%

  • The Grammy Awards

    8%

  • The Golden Globes

    6%

  • The Tony Awards

    3%

Acting - Lead

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series

Based on 125+ ballots

Crowd called itLock

Crowd pick

Matthew Rhys – Widow's Bay

as Tom Loftis

65%

  • Steve Carell – Rooster

    16%

  • Martin Short – Only Murders in the Building

    9%

  • Yahya Abdul-Mateen II – Wonder Man

    7%

  • Jason Segel – Shrinking

    3%

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series

Based on 125+ ballots

Crowd called itFavorite

Crowd pick

Jean Smart – Hacks

as Deborah Vance

56%

  • Ayo Edebiri – The Bear

    13%

  • Quinta Brunson – Abbott Elementary

    11%

  • Elle Fanning – Margo's Got Money Troubles

    10%

  • Lisa Kudrow – The Comeback

    10%

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series

Based on 125+ ballots

Crowd called itLock

Crowd pick

Noah Wyle – The Pitt

as Dr. Michael "Robby" Robinavitch

73%

  • Mark Ruffalo – Task

    10%

  • Sterling K. Brown – Paradise

    9%

  • Gary Oldman – Slow Horses

    6%

  • Rufus Sewell – The Diplomat

    2%

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series

Based on 125+ ballots

Crowd called itFavorite

Crowd pick

Rhea Seehorn – Pluribus

as Carol Sturka

53%

  • Zendaya – Euphoria

    20%

  • Keri Russell – The Diplomat

    12%

  • Carrie Coon – The Gilded Age

    9%

  • Chase Infiniti – The Testaments

    6%

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie

Based on 125+ ballots

UpsetToss-up

Crowd pick

Oscar Isaac – Beef

as Joshua "Josh" Martín

30%

  • Matthew Rhys – The Beast in Me

    Winner
    27%

  • Charlie Hunnam – Monster: The Ed Gein Story

    20%

  • Jason Bateman – Black Rabbit

    18%

  • Riz Ahmed – Bait

    5%

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie

Based on 125+ ballots

UpsetToss-up

Crowd pick

Sarah Snook – All Her Fault

as Marissa Irvine

23%

  • Carey Mulligan – Beef

    22%

  • Claire Danes – The Beast in Me

    21%

  • Sally Field – Remarkably Bright Creatures

    Winner
    19%

  • Sarah Pidgeon – Love Story: John F. Kennedy Jr. & Carolyn Bessette

    15%

Acting - Supporting

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series

Based on 125+ ballots

UpsetToss-up

Crowd pick

Harrison Ford – Shrinking

as Dr. Paul Rhoades

31%

  • Stephen Root – Widow's Bay

    Winner
    23%

  • Colman Domingo – The Four Seasons

    14%

  • Paul W. Downs – Hacks

    14%

  • Nick Offerman – Margo's Got Money Troubles

    9%
Show all 7 nominees

  • Tyler James Williams – Abbott Elementary

    7%

  • Michael Urie – Shrinking

    2%

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series

Based on 125+ ballots

Crowd called itFavorite

Crowd pick

Kate O'Flynn – Widow's Bay

as Patricia Moyer

39%

  • Hannah Einbinder – Hacks

    24%

  • Janelle James – Abbott Elementary

    13%

  • Michelle Pfeiffer – Margo's Got Money Troubles

    9%

  • Dale Dickey – Widow's Bay

    8%
Show all 7 nominees

  • Jessica Williams – Shrinking

    5%

  • Megan Stalter – Hacks

    2%

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series

Based on 125+ ballots

UpsetToss-up

Crowd pick

Shawn Hatosy – The Pitt

as Dr. Jack Abbot

24%

  • Patrick Ball – The Pitt

    22%

  • Tom Pelphrey – Task

    Winner
    19%

  • Gerran Howell – The Pitt

    13%

  • Carlos Manuel Vesga – Pluribus

    11%
Show all 7 nominees

  • Billy Crudup – The Morning Show

    6%

  • Jack Lowden – Slow Horses

    5%

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series

Based on 125+ ballots

UpsetFavorite

Crowd pick

Katherine LaNasa – The Pitt

as Dana Evans

39%

  • Sepideh Moafi – The Pitt

    14%

  • Taylor Dearden – The Pitt

    13%

  • Julianne Nicholson – Paradise

    9%

  • Karolina Wydra – Pluribus

    9%
Show all 7 nominees

  • Allison Janney – The Diplomat

    Winner
    8%

  • Fiona Dourif – The Pitt

    8%

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie

Based on 120+ ballots

Crowd called itToss-up

Crowd pick

David Harbour – DTF St. Louis

as Floyd Smernitch

29%

  • Jason Bateman – DTF St. Louis

    20%

  • Nick Offerman – Death by Lightning

    18%

  • Charles Melton – Beef

    15%

  • Richard Gadd – Half Man

    11%
Show all 6 nominees

  • Richard Jenkins – DTF St. Louis

    7%

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie

Based on 120+ ballots

Crowd called itFavorite

Crowd pick

Linda Cardellini – DTF St. Louis

as Carol Love-Smernitch

44%

  • Dakota Fanning – All Her Fault

    19%

  • Laurie Metcalf – Monster: The Ed Gein Story

    15%

  • Youn Yuh-jung – Beef

    9%

  • Constance Zimmer – Love Story: John F. Kennedy Jr. & Carolyn Bessette

    7%
Show all 6 nominees

  • Joy Sunday – DTF St. Louis

    6%

Directing

Outstanding Directing for a Comedy Series

Based on 120+ ballots

Crowd called itFavorite

Crowd pick

Hiro Murai – Widow's Bay

"Welcome to Widow's Bay!"

49%

  • Christopher Storer – The Bear

    19%

  • Lucia Aniello – Hacks

    18%

  • Randall Einhorn – Abbott Elementary

    10%

  • Andrew DeYoung – The Chair Company

    3%
Show all 6 nominees

  • Mary Lou Belli – The Ms. Pat Show

    1%

Outstanding Directing for a Drama Series

Based on 120+ ballots

UpsetFavorite

Crowd pick

Noah Wyle – The Pitt

"12:00 P.M."

55%

  • Vince Gilligan – Pluribus

    24%

  • Hanelle M. Culpepper – Paradise

    6%

  • Salli Richardson-Whitfield – Task

    6%

  • Saul Metzstein – Slow Horses

    Winner
    5%
Show all 6 nominees

  • Salli Richardson-Whitfield – The Gilded Age

    4%

Outstanding Directing for a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie

Based on 120+ ballots

Crowd called itToss-up

Crowd pick

Steven Conrad – DTF St. Louis

34%

  • Jason Bateman – Black Rabbit

    26%

  • Lee Sung Jin – Beef

    25%

  • Jake Schreier – Beef

    15%

Writing

Outstanding Writing for a Comedy Series

Based on 120+ ballots

Crowd called itToss-up

Crowd pick

Katie Dippold – Widow's Bay

"Welcome to Widow's Bay!"

34%

  • Lucia Aniello, Paul W. Downs, and Jen Statsky – Hacks

    32%

  • Quinta Brunson – Abbott Elementary

    18%

  • Michael Patrick King and Lisa Kudrow – The Comeback

    6%

  • Tim Robinson and Zach Kanin – The Chair Company

    6%
Show all 6 nominees

  • Anthony King – Jury Duty Presents

    4%

Outstanding Writing for a Drama Series

Based on 120+ ballots

Crowd called itFavorite

Crowd pick

Vince Gilligan – Pluribus

"We Is Us"

42%

  • Valerie Chu – The Pitt

    25%

  • Brad Ingelsby – Task

    9%

  • Peter Akerman and Debora Cahn – The Diplomat

    9%

  • Will Smith – Slow Horses

    8%
Show all 6 nominees

  • Kirsten Pierre-Geyfman and R. Scott Gemmill – The Pitt

    7%

Outstanding Writing for a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie

Based on 120+ ballots

Crowd called itToss-up

Crowd pick

Steven Conrad – DTF St. Louis

30%

  • Lee Sung Jin – Beef

    27%

  • Gabe Rotter and Daniel Pearle – The Beast in Me

    19%

  • Megan Gallagher – All Her Fault

    15%

  • Mike Makowsky – Death by Lightning

    9%

Outstanding Writing for a Variety Series

Based on 120+ ballots

Crowd called itLock

Crowd pick

The Late Show with Stephen Colbert

Ariel Dumas, Jay Katsir, Delmonte Bent, Michael Brumm, Aaron Cohen, Stephen T. Colbert, Paul Dinello, Gabe Gronli, Barry Julien, Michael Cruz Kayne, Eliana Kwartler, Matt Lappin, Caroline Lazar, Pratima Mani, Felipe Torres Medina, Opus Moreschi, Carley Moseley, Aaron Nemo, Asher Perlman, Tom Purcell, Kate Sidley, John Thibodeaux, Steve Waltien

63%

  • Last Week Tonight with John Oliver

    21%

  • Jimmy Kimmel Live!

    16%

Private by design

How the crowd is counted

Every party stays private. We only publish a combined share when it can't be traced back to any one person or party.

  1. One ballot per person

    Each person counts once per category, using their latest pick, no matter how many parties they're in.

  2. Many parties, not one

    A category appears only after enough people from at least three separate parties have voted, and no single party is the majority.

  3. An hour behind

    Picks made in the last hour are held back, so a single change can't be watched live.

  4. Small samples stay hidden

    Ballot totals are rounded down, and we never show who voted or which party they're in.

Your ballot moves the needle.

Start a private party, make your picks with friends, and your votes join the crowd without ever leaving your party.

Start a party