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Crowd predictions
The 98th Academy Awards
Final resultsCrowd predictions

The 98th Academy Awards 2026

Here's who 580+ ballots backed, and who took it.

Categories called
24
Ballots counted
580+
Crowd accuracy
83%20 of 24 called

What the crowd called

The picks the room got right.

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Crowd called it

Predicted, and it won

Frankenstein

82%

Based on 560+ ballots

Best Animated Feature

Crowd called it

Predicted, and it won

KPop Demon Hunters

78%

Based on 570+ ballots

Best Original Song

Crowd called it

Predicted, and it won

"Golden" – KPop Demon Hunters

75%

Based on 560+ ballots

Where the crowd missed

What players backed, and who took the award.

Best Casting

Upset

Predicted

Sinners

58%

vs

Won

One Battle After Another

22%

Based on 570+ ballots

Best Documentary Feature Film

Upset

Predicted

The Perfect Neighbor

56%

vs

Won

Mr. Nobody Against Putin

15%

Based on 555+ ballots

Best Animated Short Film

Upset

Predicted

Butterfly

38%

vs

Won

The Girl Who Cried Pearls

23%

Based on 555+ ballots

Predicted versus what won

24 categories, each with the crowd pick beside the winner.

Best Picture

Based on 580+ ballots

Crowd called itFavorite

Predicted, and it won

One Battle After Another

Adam Somner, Sara Murphy, and Paul Thomas Anderson, producers

50%

  • Sinners

    32%

  • Hamnet

    7%

  • Marty Supreme

    3%

  • Frankenstein

    2%
Show all 10 nominees

  • Sentimental Value

    2%

  • Bugonia

    1%

  • F1

    1%

  • The Secret Agent

    1%

  • Train Dreams

    1%

Best Director

Based on 575+ ballots

Crowd called itFavorite

Predicted, and it won

Paul Thomas Anderson – One Battle After Another

55%

  • Ryan Coogler – Sinners

    26%

  • Chloé Zhao – Hamnet

    12%

  • Josh Safdie – Marty Supreme

    4%

  • Joachim Trier – Sentimental Value

    3%

Best Actor

Based on 575+ ballots

Crowd called itFavorite

Predicted, and it won

Michael B. Jordan – Sinners

as Elijah "Smoke" Moore / Elias "Stack" Moore

58%

  • Timothée Chalamet – Marty Supreme

    24%

  • Leonardo DiCaprio – One Battle After Another

    7%

  • Wagner Moura – The Secret Agent

    7%

  • Ethan Hawke – Blue Moon

    4%

Best Actress

Based on 570+ ballots

Crowd called itLock

Predicted, and it won

Jessie Buckley – Hamnet

as Agnes Shakespeare

74%

  • Emma Stone – Bugonia

    16%

  • Rose Byrne – If I Had Legs I'd Kick You

    4%

  • Kate Hudson – Song Sung Blue

    3%

  • Renate Reinsve – Sentimental Value

    3%

Best Supporting Actor

Based on 575+ ballots

Crowd called itFavorite

Predicted, and it won

Sean Penn – One Battle After Another

as Colonel Steven J. Lockjaw

46%

  • Stellan Skarsgård – Sentimental Value

    21%

  • Jacob Elordi – Frankenstein

    14%

  • Delroy Lindo – Sinners

    11%

  • Benicio del Toro – One Battle After Another

    8%

Best Supporting Actress

Based on 570+ ballots

Crowd called itToss-up

Predicted, and it won

Amy Madigan – Weapons

as Aunt Gladys

37%

  • Teyana Taylor – One Battle After Another

    34%

  • Wunmi Mosaku – Sinners

    17%

  • Elle Fanning – Sentimental Value

    7%

  • Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas – Sentimental Value

    5%

Best Original Screenplay

Based on 570+ ballots

Crowd called itLock

Predicted, and it won

Sinners

Ryan Coogler

71%

  • Marty Supreme

    13%

  • Sentimental Value

    9%

  • It Was Just an Accident

    4%

  • Blue Moon

    3%

Best Adapted Screenplay

Based on 570+ ballots

Crowd called itFavorite

Predicted, and it won

One Battle After Another

Paul Thomas Anderson; based on the novel Vineland by Thomas Pynchon

53%

  • Hamnet

    26%

  • Frankenstein

    11%

  • Bugonia

    7%

  • Train Dreams

    3%

Best Animated Feature

Based on 570+ ballots

Crowd called itLock

Predicted, and it won

KPop Demon Hunters

Maggie Kang, Chris Appelhans and Michelle L.M. Wong

78%

  • Zootopia 2

    13%

  • Arco

    3%

  • Elio

    3%

  • Little Amélie or the Character of Rain

    3%

Best International Feature Film

Based on 570+ ballots

Crowd called itLock

Predicted, and it won

Sentimental Value (Norway)

in Norwegian and English – directed by Joachim Trier

61%

  • The Secret Agent (Brazil)

    27%

  • It Was Just an Accident (France)

    6%

  • Sirāt (Spain)

    3%

  • The Voice of Hind Rajab (Tunisia)

    3%

Best Documentary Feature Film

Based on 555+ ballots

UpsetFavorite

Won

Mr. Nobody Against Putin

Nominees to be determined

15%

Predicted

The Perfect Neighbor

Geeta Gandbhir, Alisa Payne, Nikon Kwantu and Sam Bisbee

56%

  • Mr. Nobody Against Putin

    Winner
    15%

  • Come See Me in the Good Light

    12%

  • The Alabama Solution

    11%

  • Cutting Through Rocks

    6%

Best Documentary Short Film

Based on 555+ ballots

Crowd called itFavorite

Predicted, and it won

All the Empty Rooms

Joshua Seftel and Conall Jones

47%

  • Children No More: "Were and Are Gone"

    18%

  • Armed Only with a Camera: The Life and Death of Brent Renaud

    16%

  • The Devil Is Busy

    11%

  • Perfectly a Strangeness

    8%

Best Animated Short Film

Based on 555+ ballots

UpsetFavorite

Won

The Girl Who Cried Pearls

Chris Lavis and Maciek Szczerbowski

23%

Predicted

Butterfly

Florence Miailhe and Ron Dyens

38%

  • The Girl Who Cried Pearls

    Winner
    23%

  • The Three Sisters

    15%

  • Retirement Plan

    13%

  • Forevergreen

    11%

Best Live Action Short Film

Based on 550+ ballots

Crowd called itFavorite

Predicted, and it won

Two People Exchanging Saliva

Alexandre Singh and Natalie Musteata

37%

  • The Singers

    Winner
    23%

  • A Friend of Dorothy

    21%

  • Jane Austen's Period Drama

    12%

  • Butcher's Stain

    7%

Best Casting

Based on 570+ ballots

UpsetFavorite

Won

One Battle After Another

Cassandra Kulukundis

22%

Predicted

Sinners

Francine Maisler

58%

  • One Battle After Another

    Winner
    22%

  • Marty Supreme

    9%

  • Hamnet

    7%

  • The Secret Agent

    4%

Best Cinematography

Based on 565+ ballots

UpsetFavorite

Won

Sinners

Autumn Durald Arkapaw

25%

Predicted

One Battle After Another

Michael Bauman

37%

  • Sinners

    Winner
    25%

  • Train Dreams

    17%

  • Frankenstein

    16%

  • Marty Supreme

    5%

Best Costume Design

Based on 570+ ballots

Crowd called itLock

Predicted, and it won

Frankenstein

Kate Hawley

64%

  • Sinners

    13%

  • Avatar: Fire and Ash

    12%

  • Hamnet

    9%

  • Marty Supreme

    2%

Best Film Editing

Based on 565+ ballots

Crowd called itFavorite

Predicted, and it won

One Battle After Another

Andy Jurgensen

45%

  • F1

    26%

  • Sinners

    16%

  • Marty Supreme

    10%

  • Sentimental Value

    3%

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Based on 560+ ballots

Crowd called itLock

Predicted, and it won

Frankenstein

Mike Hill, Jordan Samuel and Cliona Furey

82%

  • Sinners

    11%

  • The Ugly Stepsister

    4%

  • Kokuho

    2%

  • The Smashing Machine

    1%

Best Production Design

Based on 565+ ballots

Crowd called itFavorite

Predicted, and it won

Frankenstein

Production Design: Tamara Deverell; Set Decoration: Shane Vieau

49%

  • Sinners

    25%

  • Hamnet

    13%

  • One Battle After Another

    8%

  • Marty Supreme

    5%

Best Original Score

Based on 565+ ballots

Crowd called itLock

Predicted, and it won

Sinners

Ludwig Göransson

67%

  • Hamnet

    11%

  • One Battle After Another

    10%

  • Bugonia

    9%

  • Frankenstein

    3%

Best Original Song

Based on 560+ ballots

Crowd called itLock

Predicted, and it won

"Golden" – KPop Demon Hunters

Music and lyrics by Ejae, Mark Sonnenblick, 24, Ido, Teddy, Ian Eisendrath

75%

  • "I Lied to You" – Sinners

    18%

  • "Train Dreams" – Train Dreams

    5%

  • "Dear Me" – Diane Warren: Relentless

    1%

  • "Sweet Dreams of Joy" – Viva Verdi!

    1%

Best Sound

Based on 560+ ballots

Crowd called itFavorite

Predicted, and it won

F1

Gareth John, Al Nelson, Gwendolyn Yates Whittle, Gary Rizzo and Juan Peralta

59%

  • Sinners

    21%

  • One Battle After Another

    11%

  • Frankenstein

    5%

  • Sirāt

    4%

Best Visual Effects

Based on 560+ ballots

Crowd called itLock

Predicted, and it won

Avatar: Fire and Ash

Joe Letteri, Richard Baneham, Eric Saindon, and Daniel Barrett

70%

  • Sinners

    13%

  • F1

    9%

  • Jurassic World Rebirth

    6%

  • The Lost Bus

    2%

More predictions

The call

The room already has a favorite

Locks, coin flips, and the names everyone is riding into the night.

  1. The locks

    The picks the crowd is treating as done.

  2. The toss-ups

    The races close enough to argue about all night.

  3. Every category

    The full ballot, ranked by how hard the room is leaning.

  4. Your call

    Make your own picks and see if you can beat the crowd.